Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 6.104785e-01 0.785443 0.982932 1.219690 1.493157 1.796571 2.156086
2025-09-14 3.815710e-01 0.601567 0.882456 1.255075 1.724238 2.283872 2.990116
2025-09-21 2.352659e-01 0.462470 0.791280 1.270147 1.919051 2.739159 3.824682
2025-09-28 1.354614e-01 0.344457 0.690855 1.243792 2.045109 3.109770 4.575795
2025-10-05 8.249904e-02 0.274826 0.638196 1.266895 2.229791 3.560389 5.448365
2025-10-12 4.768367e-02 0.217483 0.586064 1.275542 2.386263 3.975042 6.287817
2025-10-19 2.306943e-02 0.160981 0.514711 1.235265 2.458110 4.268250 6.969330
2025-10-26 1.003886e-02 0.119944 0.457595 1.205086 2.536056 4.567229 7.664008
2025-11-02 4.283106e-03 0.095072 0.426274 1.214256 2.673825 4.956043 8.494509
2025-11-09 1.036337e-03 0.068204 0.375839 1.174004 2.720709 5.205317 9.128747
2025-11-16 3.055286e-04 0.058609 0.370697 1.225985 2.929247 5.709241 10.146031
2025-11-23 1.643986e-05 0.045266 0.345348 1.227913 3.046098 6.071691 10.962518
2025-11-30 2.633776e-08 0.040898 0.351794 1.306294 3.312272 6.687920 12.184577
2025-12-07 NaN 0.034650 0.346931 1.356849 3.529723 7.234030 13.316744
2025-12-14 NaN 0.027423 0.332043 1.379647 3.695057 7.700564 14.339824
2025-12-21 NaN 0.018975 0.301437 1.355183 3.765319 8.011582 15.131813
2025-12-28 NaN 0.014793 0.290556 1.381457 3.936664 8.494981 16.198383
2026-01-04 NaN 0.010851 0.275199 1.391533 4.074342 8.924102 17.187709
2026-01-11 NaN 0.006415 0.244662 1.349192 4.099056 9.159655 17.877684
2026-01-18 NaN 0.003634 0.219761 1.317331 4.141697 9.425226 18.618248
2026-01-25 NaN 0.002335 0.208420 1.327193 4.274247 9.850446 19.619390
2026-02-01 NaN 0.001000 0.183916 1.284434 4.286207 10.061472 20.280192
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000761 0.186067 1.339750 4.522282 10.678062 21.604463